Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

69%

Barcelona

1.46

17%

Draw

5.79

14%

Leganes

7.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.46

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.50

1.03

Leganes xG

69%
17%
14%
BarcelonaDrawLeganes

1.46

69%

Home win

5.79

17%

Draw

7.14

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

36%

Barcelona

2.81

9%

Leganes

11.74

Win to Nil

24%

Barcelona

4.09

1%

Leganes

83.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
1 7.5 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.6 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
5 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.463
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 3.496
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.153
Barcelona attack strength 1.427
Barcelona defence strength 0.997
Leganes attack strength 0.898
Leganes defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 16