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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

72%

Barcelona

1.38

17%

Draw

5.73

10%

Girona

9.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

3 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.24

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.95

0.71

Girona xG

72%
17%
BarcelonaDrawGirona

1.38

72%

Home win

5.73

17%

Draw

9.79

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

49%

Barcelona

2.03

11%

Girona

9.43

Win to Nil

36%

Barcelona

2.81

1%

Girona

92.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 8.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
2 13.2 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 9.8 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 5.5 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
5 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.244
λ Away (xG) 0.708
Total xG 2.952
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.187
Barcelona attack strength 1.524
Barcelona defence strength 0.735
Girona attack strength 0.811
Girona defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66