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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:15

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

70%

Barcelona

1.43

19%

Draw

5.14

11%

Alaves

9.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.67

0.65

Alaves xG

70%
19%
BarcelonaDrawAlaves

1.43

70%

Home win

5.14

19%

Draw

9.22

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

52%

Barcelona

1.91

13%

Alaves

7.55

Win to Nil

36%

Barcelona

2.74

1%

Alaves

69.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.0 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
2 14.2 9.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
3 9.5 6.2 2.0 0.4 0.1
4 4.8 3.1 1.0 0.2
5 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.022
λ Away (xG) 0.648
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.115
Barcelona attack strength 1.660
Barcelona defence strength 0.829
Alaves attack strength 0.701
Alaves defence strength 0.871
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51