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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

78%

Atletico Madrid

1.29

14%

Draw

7.32

9%

Valladolid

11.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.78

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.62

0.84

Valladolid xG

78%
14%
Atletico MadridDrawValladolid

1.29

78%

Home win

7.32

14%

Draw

11.63

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

43%

Atletico Madrid

2.32

6%

Valladolid

16.15

Win to Nil

34%

Atletico Madrid

2.98

1%

Valladolid

187.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.4 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 10.3 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 9.6 8.1 3.4 0.9 0.2
4 6.7 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
5 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.782
λ Away (xG) 0.840
Total xG 3.622
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.250
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.184
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.919
Valladolid attack strength 0.731
Valladolid defence strength 1.780
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 30