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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

76%

Atletico Madrid

1.32

15%

Draw

6.56

9%

Valencia

11.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.1%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.52

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.27

0.76

Valencia xG

76%
15%
Atletico MadridDrawValencia

1.32

76%

Home win

6.56

15%

Draw

11.03

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

47%

Atletico Madrid

2.13

8%

Valencia

12.39

Win to Nil

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.81

1%

Valencia

136.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
2 12.0 9.1 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 10.1 7.6 2.9 0.7 0.1
4 6.3 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.517
λ Away (xG) 0.755
Total xG 3.272
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.119
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.461
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.813
Valencia attack strength 0.831
Valencia defence strength 1.268
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53