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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

57%

Atletico Madrid

1.77

24%

Draw

4.18

19%

Real Sociedad

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.74

0.95

Real Sociedad xG

57%
24%
19%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad

1.77

57%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

Atletico Madrid

2.59

17%

Real Sociedad

5.96

Win to Nil

22%

Atletico Madrid

4.57

3%

Real Sociedad

30.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.6 11.0 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.785
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 2.736
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.140
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.239
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.850
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.981
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.958
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64