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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

58%

Atletico Madrid

1.73

22%

Draw

4.60

21%

Real Sociedad

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.04

1.08

Real Sociedad xG

58%
22%
21%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad

1.73

58%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

4.88

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

34%

Atletico Madrid

2.94

14%

Real Sociedad

7.08

Win to Nil

20%

Atletico Madrid

5.10

3%

Real Sociedad

34.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.4 10.1 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.957
λ Away (xG) 1.080
Total xG 3.037
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.188
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.302
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.957
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.950
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72