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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

15:15

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

60%

Atletico Madrid

1.68

23%

Draw

4.37

18%

Osasuna

5.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.65

0.85

Osasuna xG

60%
23%
18%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna

1.68

60%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

5.70

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

43%

Atletico Madrid

2.35

17%

Osasuna

6.01

Win to Nil

25%

Atletico Madrid

3.95

3%

Osasuna

34.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 6.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.7 10.8 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.794
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 2.649
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.184
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.259
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.891
Osasuna attack strength 0.811
Osasuna defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56