Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

13:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

63%

Atletico Madrid

1.58

23%

Draw

4.40

14%

Mallorca

7.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.75

0.81

Mallorca xG

63%
23%
14%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca

1.58

63%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

7.14

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

45%

Atletico Madrid

2.24

14%

Mallorca

6.96

Win to Nil

28%

Atletico Madrid

3.54

2%

Mallorca

49.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 10.0 4.0 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 7.8 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 3.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.940
λ Away (xG) 0.805
Total xG 2.745
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.137
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.224
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.792
Mallorca attack strength 0.894
Mallorca defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58