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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

62%

Atletico Madrid

1.63

21%

Draw

4.72

17%

Elche

5.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.93

0.95

Elche xG

62%
21%
17%
Atletico MadridDrawElche

1.63

62%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

5.77

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

39%

Atletico Madrid

2.58

14%

Elche

7.27

Win to Nil

24%

Atletico Madrid

4.19

2%

Elche

41.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.6 10.0 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.984
λ Away (xG) 0.947
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.198
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.293
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.930
Elche attack strength 0.850
Elche defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 1