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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

15:15

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

69%

Atletico Madrid

1.45

21%

Draw

4.83

10%

Alaves

9.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.83

0.71

Alaves xG

69%
21%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves

1.45

69%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

9.88

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

49%

Atletico Madrid

2.03

12%

Alaves

8.38

Win to Nil

34%

Atletico Madrid

2.93

1%

Alaves

82.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 4.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 8.8 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 13.3 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 9.4 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 5.0 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.126
λ Away (xG) 0.707
Total xG 2.833
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.114
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.320
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.865
Alaves attack strength 0.734
Alaves defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57