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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

43%

Athletic Club

2.34

27%

Draw

3.77

31%

Villarreal

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.55

1.15

Villarreal xG

43%
27%
31%
Athletic ClubDrawVillarreal

2.34

43%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

32%

Athletic Club

3.15

25%

Villarreal

4.08

Win to Nil

14%

Athletic Club

7.37

8%

Villarreal

13.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.9 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.9 12.6 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.8 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.555
League avg away goals 1.127
Athletic Club attack strength 0.925
Athletic Club defence strength 1.013
Villarreal attack strength 1.005
Villarreal defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68