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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

79%

Athletic Club

1.27

15%

Draw

6.87

6%

Valladolid

15.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

3 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.96

0.54

Valladolid xG

79%
15%
Athletic ClubDrawValladolid

1.27

79%

Home win

6.87

15%

Draw

15.53

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

58%

Athletic Club

1.72

9%

Valladolid

11.21

Win to Nil

46%

Athletic Club

2.17

1%

Valladolid

174.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.1
1 12.6 6.8 1.8 0.3
2 15.2 8.2 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 12.2 6.6 1.8 0.3
4 7.4 4.0 1.1 0.2
5 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.417
λ Away (xG) 0.540
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.154
Athletic Club attack strength 1.118
Athletic Club defence strength 0.691
Valladolid attack strength 0.677
Valladolid defence strength 1.564
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24