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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

15:15

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

42%

Athletic Club

2.40

29%

Draw

3.47

30%

Valencia

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.21

0.98

Valencia xG

42%
29%
30%
Athletic ClubDrawValencia

2.40

42%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

37%

Athletic Club

2.68

29%

Valencia

3.40

Win to Nil

16%

Athletic Club

6.42

9%

Valencia

11.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.8 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 13.2 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 8.1 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 0.984
Total xG 2.209
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.163
Athletic Club attack strength 0.882
Athletic Club defence strength 0.973
Valencia attack strength 0.870
Valencia defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72