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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

32%

Athletic Club

3.13

31%

Draw

3.20

37%

Real Sociedad

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.29

1.20

Real Sociedad xG

32%
31%
37%
Athletic ClubDrawReal Sociedad

3.13

32%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

30%

Athletic Club

3.31

33%

Real Sociedad

3.00

Win to Nil

10%

Athletic Club

10.36

12%

Real Sociedad

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.1 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 6.1 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.097
λ Away (xG) 1.196
Total xG 2.293
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.112
Athletic Club attack strength 0.805
Athletic Club defence strength 1.039
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.034
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.941
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59