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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

35%

Athletic Club

2.89

27%

Draw

3.64

38%

Real Madrid

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.43

1.25

Real Madrid xG

35%
27%
38%
Athletic ClubDrawReal Madrid

2.89

35%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

29%

Athletic Club

3.48

31%

Real Madrid

3.25

Win to Nil

10%

Athletic Club

10.07

12%

Real Madrid

8.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 11.0 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.4 13.0 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.179
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.129
Athletic Club attack strength 0.864
Athletic Club defence strength 0.899
Real Madrid attack strength 1.229
Real Madrid defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52