Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

45%

Athletic Club

2.20

30%

Draw

3.31

24%

Rayo Vallecano

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

1.97

0.79

Rayo Vallecano xG

45%
30%
24%
Athletic ClubDrawRayo Vallecano

2.20

45%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

46%

Athletic Club

2.19

30%

Rayo Vallecano

3.28

Win to Nil

21%

Athletic Club

4.83

7%

Rayo Vallecano

13.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 10.9 4.3 1.1 0.2
1 16.5 13.0 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 9.8 7.7 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 0.786
Total xG 1.974
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.248
Athletic Club attack strength 1.198
Athletic Club defence strength 0.721
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.872
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.758
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68