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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

42%

Athletic Club

2.38

27%

Draw

3.64

30%

Osasuna

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.39

1.08

Osasuna xG

42%
27%
30%
Athletic ClubDrawOsasuna

2.38

42%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

34%

Athletic Club

2.93

27%

Osasuna

3.72

Win to Nil

14%

Athletic Club

6.98

8%

Osasuna

12.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 13.0 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.5 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.076
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.124
Athletic Club attack strength 0.903
Athletic Club defence strength 1.079
Osasuna attack strength 0.886
Osasuna defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69