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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

62%

Athletic Club

1.62

21%

Draw

4.66

17%

Las Palmas

5.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.83

0.90

Las Palmas xG

62%
21%
17%
Athletic ClubDrawLas Palmas

1.62

62%

Home win

4.66

21%

Draw

5.98

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

41%

Athletic Club

2.45

14%

Las Palmas

6.95

Win to Nil

25%

Athletic Club

3.96

2%

Las Palmas

41.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 10.2 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.939
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 2.834
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.253
Athletic Club attack strength 1.300
Athletic Club defence strength 0.739
Las Palmas attack strength 0.966
Las Palmas defence strength 1.128
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70