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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

57%

Athletic Club

1.74

24%

Draw

4.09

18%

Girona

5.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.68

0.91

Girona xG

57%
24%
18%
Athletic ClubDrawGirona

1.74

57%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

5.49

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

40%

Athletic Club

2.47

17%

Girona

5.92

Win to Nil

23%

Athletic Club

4.31

3%

Girona

32.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.2 11.0 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.4 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.778
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 2.683
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.110
Athletic Club attack strength 0.982
Athletic Club defence strength 0.928
Girona attack strength 0.879
Girona defence strength 1.242
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43