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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

50%

Athletic Club

1.99

28%

Draw

3.56

22%

Girona

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.13

0.78

Girona xG

50%
28%
22%
Athletic ClubDrawGirona

1.99

50%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

46%

Athletic Club

2.19

26%

Girona

3.86

Win to Nil

23%

Athletic Club

4.35

6%

Girona

17.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 9.3 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 16.0 12.5 4.9 1.3 0.2
2 10.8 8.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.9 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.351
λ Away (xG) 0.782
Total xG 2.133
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.128
Athletic Club attack strength 0.991
Athletic Club defence strength 0.736
Girona attack strength 0.943
Girona defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60