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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 22 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

30%

Athletic Club

3.38

33%

Draw

3.03

38%

Espanyol

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

1.90

1.02

Espanyol xG

30%
33%
38%
Athletic ClubDrawEspanyol

3.38

30%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.67

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

36%

Athletic Club

2.78

42%

Espanyol

2.39

Win to Nil

11%

Athletic Club

9.40

16%

Espanyol

6.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 15.4 7.9 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 5.7 5.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.873
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 1.895
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 1.059
Athletic Club attack strength 0.772
Athletic Club defence strength 0.990
Espanyol attack strength 0.974
Espanyol defence strength 0.810
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54