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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

58%

Athletic Club

1.73

24%

Draw

4.23

19%

Elche

5.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

3.03

1.05

Elche xG

58%
24%
19%
Athletic ClubDrawElche

1.73

58%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

5.36

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

35%

Athletic Club

2.87

14%

Elche

7.23

Win to Nil

20%

Athletic Club

4.97

3%

Elche

38.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 9.5 10.1 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.2 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.978
λ Away (xG) 1.055
Total xG 3.033
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.122
Athletic Club attack strength 0.959
Athletic Club defence strength 1.094
Elche attack strength 0.859
Elche defence strength 1.372
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24