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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

30%

Athletic Club

3.38

29%

Draw

3.40

41%

Celta Vigo

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.14

1.18

Celta Vigo xG

30%
29%
41%
Athletic ClubDrawCelta Vigo

3.38

30%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

31%

Athletic Club

3.26

38%

Celta Vigo

2.60

Win to Nil

9%

Athletic Club

11.01

16%

Celta Vigo

6.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 13.9 8.2 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.4 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.956
λ Away (xG) 1.181
Total xG 2.137
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Athletic Club attack strength 0.816
Athletic Club defence strength 0.982
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.047
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.773
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74