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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

27%

Athletic Club

3.70

29%

Draw

3.45

44%

Atletico Madrid

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.15

1.24

Atletico Madrid xG

27%
29%
44%
Athletic ClubDrawAtletico Madrid

3.70

27%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

29%

Athletic Club

3.46

40%

Atletico Madrid

2.47

Win to Nil

8%

Athletic Club

12.81

18%

Atletico Madrid

5.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 14.5 9.0 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 10.6 13.1 8.2 3.4 1.0 0.3
2 4.8 5.9 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.905
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 2.146
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.143
Athletic Club attack strength 0.782
Athletic Club defence strength 1.059
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.025
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53