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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

50%

Athletic Club

1.99

27%

Draw

3.75

23%

Alaves

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.34

0.89

Alaves xG

50%
27%
23%
Athletic ClubDrawAlaves

1.99

50%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

41%

Athletic Club

2.43

23%

Alaves

4.27

Win to Nil

21%

Athletic Club

4.82

5%

Alaves

18.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.0 12.4 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.451
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.337
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.143
Athletic Club attack strength 1.138
Athletic Club defence strength 0.896
Alaves attack strength 0.865
Alaves defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41