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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
59%
1.69
22%
4.48
19%
5.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.0%
Home win
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.97
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.98
1.02
Valencia xG
AlavesDrawValencia
1.69
59%
Home win
4.48
22%
Draw
5.37
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
36%
2.76
14%
7.13
Win to Nil
21%
4.68
3%
38.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.965
λ Away (xG)
1.017
Total xG
2.982
League avg home goals
1.392
League avg away goals
1.166
Alaves attack strength
1.036
Alaves defence strength
0.978
Valencia attack strength
0.891
Valencia defence strength
1.362
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46