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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

42%

Alaves

2.37

27%

Draw

3.77

31%

Sevilla

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.56

1.17

Sevilla xG

42%
27%
31%
AlavesDrawSevilla

2.37

42%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

31%

Alaves

3.22

25%

Sevilla

4.04

Win to Nil

13%

Alaves

7.63

8%

Sevilla

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.0 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.6 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 8.8 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 1.168
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.144
Alaves attack strength 0.880
Alaves defence strength 0.906
Sevilla attack strength 1.126
Sevilla defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42