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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
42%
2.37
27%
3.73
31%
3.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.3%
Home win
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.49
1.13
Rayo Vallecano xG
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
2.37
42%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
3.23
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
32%
3.09
26%
3.92
Win to Nil
14%
7.33
8%
12.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 12.7 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.365
λ Away (xG)
1.129
Total xG
2.494
League avg home goals
1.513
League avg away goals
1.142
Alaves attack strength
0.948
Alaves defence strength
1.180
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.838
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
0.951
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75