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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
30%
3.36
36%
2.81
35%
2.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
20.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
17.2%
Away win
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.74
Alaves xG
Total xG
1.57
0.83
Rayo Vallecano xG
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
3.36
30%
Home win
2.81
36%
Draw
2.89
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
47%
Over 1.5
2.13
53%
Under 1.5
1.89
21%
Over 2.5
4.76
79%
Under 2.5
1.27
8%
Over 3.5
12.50
92%
Under 3.5
1.09
2%
Over 4.5
50.00
98%
Under 4.5
1.02
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.38
70%
BTTS No
1.42
Clean Sheet
44%
2.29
47%
2.11
Win to Nil
13%
7.70
16%
6.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.7 | 17.2 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.4 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.745
λ Away (xG)
0.829
Total xG
1.574
League avg home goals
1.432
League avg away goals
1.158
Alaves attack strength
0.688
Alaves defence strength
0.901
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.795
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
0.756
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66