Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

61%

Alaves

1.64

25%

Draw

3.95

14%

Oviedo

7.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.39

0.69

Oviedo xG

61%
25%
14%
AlavesDrawOviedo

1.64

61%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

7.21

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

50%

Alaves

1.99

18%

Oviedo

5.47

Win to Nil

31%

Alaves

3.28

3%

Oviedo

39.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 15.6 10.7 3.7 0.9 0.1
2 13.3 9.1 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 7.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.699
λ Away (xG) 0.689
Total xG 2.388
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.109
Alaves attack strength 0.872
Alaves defence strength 0.911
Oviedo attack strength 0.682
Oviedo defence strength 1.378
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17