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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

45%

Alaves

2.20

28%

Draw

3.53

26%

Levante

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.21

0.91

Levante xG

45%
28%
26%
AlavesDrawLevante

2.20

45%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

40%

Alaves

2.48

27%

Levante

3.66

Win to Nil

18%

Alaves

5.46

7%

Levante

13.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.0 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 13.0 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.4 3.8 1.2 0.3
3 4.0 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.297
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.207
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.235
Alaves attack strength 0.817
Alaves defence strength 0.867
Levante attack strength 0.850
Levante defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0