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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Getafe Win

28%

Alaves

3.60

31%

Draw

3.26

42%

Getafe

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Alaves xG

Total xG

1.98

1.12

Getafe xG

28%
31%
42%
AlavesDrawGetafe

3.60

28%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

33%

Alaves

3.07

42%

Getafe

2.36

Win to Nil

9%

Alaves

11.08

18%

Getafe

5.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 15.5 8.7 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.3 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.1 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.858
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 1.981
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 1.124
Alaves attack strength 0.762
Alaves defence strength 0.997
Getafe attack strength 1.003
Getafe defence strength 0.792
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60