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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
50%
2.02
28%
3.53
22%
4.53
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
12.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.12
0.79
Espanyol xG
AlavesDrawEspanyol
2.02
50%
Home win
3.53
28%
Draw
4.53
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.50
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
46%
2.19
26%
3.79
Win to Nil
23%
4.42
6%
17.17
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 12.6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.332
λ Away (xG)
0.785
Total xG
2.117
League avg home goals
1.421
League avg away goals
1.144
Alaves attack strength
0.720
Alaves defence strength
0.971
Espanyol attack strength
0.707
Espanyol defence strength
1.301
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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