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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

20:30

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

20%

Alaves

4.96

20%

Draw

4.90

59%

Barcelona

1.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

0 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Alaves xG

Total xG

3.32

2.14

Barcelona xG

20%
20%
59%
AlavesDrawBarcelona

4.96

20%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

1.68

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

12%

Alaves

8.52

31%

Barcelona

3.24

Win to Nil

2%

Alaves

42.20

18%

Barcelona

5.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 7.8 8.3 5.9 3.2 1.4
1 4.3 9.1 9.8 7.0 3.7 1.6
2 2.5 5.4 5.7 4.1 2.2 0.9
3 1.0 2.1 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.4
4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 2.142
Total xG 3.318
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.175
Alaves attack strength 0.966
Alaves defence strength 1.313
Barcelona attack strength 1.389
Barcelona defence strength 0.803
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73