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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
38%
2.64
28%
3.52
34%
2.97
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
0 – 1
11.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.19
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.29
1.10
Atletico Madrid xG
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
2.64
38%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
2.97
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.15
53%
BTTS No
1.87
Clean Sheet
33%
3.02
30%
3.29
Win to Nil
13%
7.96
10%
9.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.190
λ Away (xG)
1.105
Total xG
2.295
League avg home goals
1.382
League avg away goals
1.172
Alaves attack strength
0.890
Alaves defence strength
0.922
Atletico Madrid attack strength
1.023
Atletico Madrid defence strength
0.967
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40