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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico Madrid Win
25%
4.07
32%
3.10
43%
2.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.8%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
16.7%
Draw
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.72
Alaves xG
Total xG
1.79
1.06
Atletico Madrid xG
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
4.07
25%
Home win
3.10
32%
Draw
2.32
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
53%
Over 1.5
1.89
47%
Under 1.5
2.13
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.96
66%
BTTS No
1.51
Clean Sheet
35%
2.90
48%
2.06
Win to Nil
8%
11.79
21%
4.79
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.7 | 17.8 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.724
λ Away (xG)
1.064
Total xG
1.788
League avg home goals
1.338
League avg away goals
1.184
Alaves attack strength
0.643
Alaves defence strength
0.871
Atletico Madrid attack strength
1.032
Atletico Madrid defence strength
0.842
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
71 / 71