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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

52%

Alaves

1.94

23%

Draw

4.31

25%

Athletic Club

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.98

1.19

Athletic Club xG

52%
23%
25%
AlavesDrawAthletic Club

1.94

52%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

30%

Alaves

3.28

17%

Athletic Club

6.00

Win to Nil

16%

Alaves

6.37

4%

Athletic Club

23.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 10.8 6.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.2 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.792
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.142
Alaves attack strength 0.953
Alaves defence strength 1.115
Athletic Club attack strength 0.933
Athletic Club defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71