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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

33%

Alaves

2.99

29%

Draw

3.44

37%

Athletic Club

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.20

1.14

Athletic Club xG

33%
29%
37%
AlavesDrawAthletic Club

2.99

33%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

32%

Alaves

3.13

35%

Athletic Club

2.89

Win to Nil

11%

Alaves

9.36

13%

Athletic Club

7.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.6 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.2 7.1 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.061
λ Away (xG) 1.141
Total xG 2.202
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.156
Alaves attack strength 0.836
Alaves defence strength 0.979
Athletic Club attack strength 1.008
Athletic Club defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55