Most Likely Outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC Win
41%
2.47
32%
3.09
27%
3.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
Total xG
2.76
1.23
Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
Ulsan Hyundai FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
2.47
41%
Home win
3.09
32%
Draw
3.68
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.44
Clean Sheet
29%
3.43
22%
4.60
Win to Nil
12%
8.47
6%
16.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 11.9 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.527
λ Away (xG)
1.233
Total xG
2.760
League avg home goals
1.208
League avg away goals
1.274
Ulsan Hyundai FC attack strength
1.228
Ulsan Hyundai FC defence strength
0.984
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength
0.983
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength
1.029
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
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