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Stalemate at Ulsan Hyundai FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Regular Season - 30, as Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Anyang drew 0-0 in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.41 xG and FC Anyang 1.19 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ulsan Hyundai FC fell 1.4 short of their projected output. FC Anyang landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.92 / defence 1.07 against FC Anyang attack 0.84 / defence 1.04, drawn from 62/29 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ulsan Hyundai FC 42% | Draw 26% | FC Anyang 32%, with Ulsan Hyundai FC to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ulsan Hyundai FC 41%, FC Anyang 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ulsan Hyundai FC's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Anyang's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.21 PPG, FC Anyang 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ulsan Hyundai FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line. FC Anyang (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.07 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights