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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as FC Anyang defy the odds to beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-1 at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.74 xG and FC Anyang 0.99 xG, a combined 2.73. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Ulsan Hyundai FC fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 1.10 / defence 0.99 against FC Anyang attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 33/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ulsan Hyundai FC 55% | Draw 24% | FC Anyang 22%, with Ulsan Hyundai FC to win its most likely call at 55%. Instead the game produced a FC Anyang win, an outcome the model had rated at just 22% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights