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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Suwon City FC edge out FC Anyang 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Suwon City FC beat FC Anyang 2-1 at Suwon Sports Complex, Regular Season - 24, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Suwon City FC 1.54 xG and FC Anyang 1.03 xG, a combined 2.57. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Suwon City FC attack 1.05 / defence 1.03 against FC Anyang attack 0.79 / defence 1.13, drawn from 55/23 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Suwon City FC 48% | Draw 27% | FC Anyang 25%, with Suwon City FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Suwon City FC 52%, FC Anyang 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Suwon City FC's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did.

FC Anyang's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Suwon City FC 0.96 PPG, FC Anyang 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Suwon City FC win broke the near-deadlock.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights