Suwon Bluewings 2-1 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Suwon Bluewings at 47%, yet other data sources diverge — this Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a K League 1 clash, Relegation Round as Suwon Bluewings welcome FC Anyang to Suwon World Cup Stadium. Kick-off is set for Saturday 29 October 2022 at 06:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all K League 1 games this season, Suwon Bluewings have gone 3W 3D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.20 PPG return. Last five: D L W W D. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
Suwon Bluewings at Suwon World Cup Stadium this season: 2W 4D 4L from 10 home games — 1.00 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
FC Anyang — All Games: 0W 1D 0L from 1 K League 1 fixtures this season — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D. Their scoring rate of 0.00 per game is modest, conceding 0.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 1 games (100%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. FC Anyang have played only a handful of K League 1 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Suwon Bluewings 1.20 PPG, FC Anyang 1.00 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Suwon Bluewings, 0 for FC Anyang and 1 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 0.0 per contest from 1 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 26 Oct 2022, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Suwon Bluewings 1.63 xG and FC Anyang 1.22 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Suwon Bluewings attack 1.014 / defence 1.157 | FC Anyang attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 1.397 / away 1.242. Data: 66 Suwon Bluewings games / 0 FC Anyang games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Suwon Bluewings 47% | Draw 24% | FC Anyang 29%. Fair-value odds: Suwon Bluewings 2.13 | Draw 4.17 | FC Anyang 3.45. Suwon Bluewings hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (24%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS probability 57% | Total xG 2.85. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.85 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 57% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Suwon Bluewings at 47% — moderate model lean. With a 24% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Suwon Bluewings offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.85 combined xG gives a 54% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though form averaging only 1.6 goals per game points in the other direction.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, Relegation Round | Venue: Suwon World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 29 Oct 2022, 06:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Suwon Bluewings 47% | Draw 24% | FC Anyang 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% | BTTS 57% | xG Suwon Bluewings 1.63 / FC Anyang 1.22 • Poisson strength factors: Suwon Bluewings attack 1.014 / def 1.157 | FC Anyang attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 1.397 / away 1.242 • Poisson stance: Suwon Bluewings (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.63
Suwon Bluewings xG
Expected Goals
1.22
FC Anyang xG
57%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang kick off?
Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang kicked off at 06:00 on Saturday 29 October 2022 at Suwon World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang?
Suwon Bluewings 2 - 1 FC Anyang.
Where is Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Suwon World Cup Stadium.
What competition is Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang part of?
Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang is a Relegation Round fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Suwon Bluewings a 47% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 29% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Suwon Bluewings the favourite.
Will both teams score in Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 57% probability that both Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang will score (BTTS).
Will Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang?
Record (1 meetings): Suwon Bluewings 0W | Draws 1 | FC Anyang 0W.
What form are Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang in?
Suwon Bluewings (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-W-W-D. FC Anyang (all comps): 0W-1D-0L in 1 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 0.00 | L5 D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Suwon Bluewings's attack rating (1.01) and FC Anyang's defence rating (1.15), the model arrives at 1.63 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, FC Anyang's attack versus Suwon Bluewings's defence, projects 1.22 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 66/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.0%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.4%), 1-0 (7.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Suwon Bluewings Win
47%
2.13
24%
4.09
29%
3.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.63
Suwon Bluewings xG
Total xG
2.85
1.22
FC Anyang xG
2.13
47%
Home win
4.09
24%
Draw
3.49
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.31
Clean Sheet
29%
3.39
20%
5.10
Win to Nil
14%
7.23
6%
17.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Suwon Bluewings and 1.22 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.85.
How confident is the prediction model for Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Suwon Bluewings's recent record stands at 0W 1D 0L from 1 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with D in the last five. It's still early in the season for Suwon Bluewings, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
FC Anyang, meanwhile, have gone 0W 1D 0L across 1 games — 1.00 PPG, with D in their last five. It's still early in the season for FC Anyang, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: Suwon Bluewings on 1.00 PPG, FC Anyang on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Goals in Recent Form
Suwon Bluewings are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per game recently; FC Anyang are on 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both sides have been difficult to break down recently — a combination that often points to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the average fixture.
On BTTS specifically: Suwon Bluewings have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games; FC Anyang in 0%.
Defensively: Suwon Bluewings have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their games; FC Anyang in 100% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 1 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Suwon Bluewings
Early Season
FC Anyang
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang in coming into this match?
Suwon Bluewings have gone 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 games (1.00 PPG), while FC Anyang have gone 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 (1.00 PPG).
Have Suwon Bluewings or FC Anyang been keeping clean sheets recently?
Suwon Bluewings have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their recent games, FC Anyang in 100%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 29 October 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
1
Suwon Bluewings
1
Draws
0
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang?
From 2 meetings on record, Suwon Bluewings have won 1, FC Anyang have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang last play each other?
They last met on 29 October 2022, when Suwon Bluewings 2-1 FC Anyang.
Who has won more matches between Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang?
Suwon Bluewings have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Suwon Bluewings home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Suwon Bluewings play FC Anyang?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Suwon Bluewings's recent matches and 0% of FC Anyang's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Suwon Bluewings vs FC Anyang usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Suwon Bluewings's recent games and 0% of FC Anyang's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Suwon Bluewings and FC Anyang tend to score early?
Suwon Bluewings have had a goal before half-time in 0% of their recent matches, FC Anyang in 0% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Suwon Bluewings edge out FC Anyang 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Suwon Bluewings beat FC Anyang 2-1 at Suwon World Cup Stadium, Relegation Round, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Suwon Bluewings 1.63 xG and FC Anyang 1.22 xG, a combined 2.85. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Suwon Bluewings attack 1.01 / defence 1.16 against FC Anyang attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 66/0 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Suwon Bluewings 47% | Draw 24% | FC Anyang 29%, with Suwon Bluewings to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 0% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Suwon Bluewings 0%, FC Anyang 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Suwon Bluewings 1.00 PPG, FC Anyang 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Suwon Bluewings win broke the near-deadlock. Suwon Bluewings scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 1 against a 0.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Anyang scored 1 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 0.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.