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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

07:30

Venue

Gimcheon Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win

42%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

2.39

27%

Draw

3.74

31%

Gwangju FC

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG

Total xG

2.51

1.15

Gwangju FC xG

42%
27%
31%
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDrawGwangju FC

2.39

42%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

32%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

3.15

26%

Gwangju FC

3.92

Win to Nil

13%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

7.52

8%

Gwangju FC

12.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.1 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 2.511
League avg home goals 1.080
League avg away goals 1.114
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength 1.105
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength 0.957
Gwangju FC attack strength 1.074
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.144
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36