Most Likely Outcome
Pohang Steelers Win
49%
2.05
35%
2.89
17%
6.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.3%
Draw
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Pohang Steelers xG
Total xG
1.95
0.67
Gwangju FC xG
Pohang SteelersDrawGwangju FC
2.05
49%
Home win
2.89
35%
Draw
6.00
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.65
62%
BTTS No
1.61
Clean Sheet
51%
1.94
28%
3.60
Win to Nil
25%
3.99
5%
21.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.3 | 12.2 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 11.7 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.281
λ Away (xG)
0.665
Total xG
1.946
League avg home goals
1.167
League avg away goals
1.176
Pohang Steelers attack strength
0.673
Pohang Steelers defence strength
0.799
Gwangju FC attack strength
0.708
Gwangju FC defence strength
1.632
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41