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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

08:30

Venue

Pohang Steel Yard

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pohang Steelers Win

48%

Pohang Steelers

2.10

29%

Draw

3.50

24%

Gwangju FC

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Pohang Steelers xG

Total xG

2.13

0.83

Gwangju FC xG

48%
29%
24%
Pohang SteelersDrawGwangju FC

2.10

48%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

44%

Pohang Steelers

2.29

27%

Gwangju FC

3.67

Win to Nil

21%

Pohang Steelers

4.80

6%

Gwangju FC

15.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 9.8 4.1 1.1 0.2
1 15.5 12.8 5.3 1.5 0.3
2 10.1 8.3 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 0.827
Total xG 2.128
League avg home goals 1.193
League avg away goals 1.061
Pohang Steelers attack strength 0.978
Pohang Steelers defence strength 0.882
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.884
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46