Most Likely Outcome
Draw
31%
3.18
35%
2.88
34%
2.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.5%
Away win
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Pohang Steelers xG
Total xG
2.50
1.27
Bucheon FC 1995 xG
Pohang SteelersDrawBucheon FC 1995
3.18
31%
Home win
2.88
35%
Draw
2.96
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.83
45%
BTTS No
2.21
Clean Sheet
28%
3.58
29%
3.40
Win to Nil
9%
11.37
10%
10.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 10.5 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 12.8 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.225
λ Away (xG)
1.275
Total xG
2.500
League avg home goals
1.278
League avg away goals
1.196
Pohang Steelers attack strength
0.810
Pohang Steelers defence strength
0.970
Bucheon FC 1995 attack strength
1.098
Bucheon FC 1995 defence strength
1.184
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
36 / 4