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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

11:00

Venue

Jeju World Cup Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jeju United FC Win

40%

Jeju United FC

2.51

30%

Draw

3.29

30%

Gwangju FC

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Jeju United FC xG

Total xG

2.03

0.92

Gwangju FC xG

40%
30%
30%
Jeju United FCDrawGwangju FC

2.51

40%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

40%

Jeju United FC

2.51

33%

Gwangju FC

3.04

Win to Nil

16%

Jeju United FC

6.30

10%

Gwangju FC

10.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 12.1 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.4 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.1 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.030
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.261
Jeju United FC attack strength 0.901
Jeju United FC defence strength 0.900
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.810
Gwangju FC defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60