Most Likely Outcome
FC Seoul Win
15%
6.70
26%
3.84
59%
1.69
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.3%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
12.3%
Away win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Jeju United FC xG
Total xG
2.49
1.73
FC Seoul xG
Jeju United FCDrawFC Seoul
6.70
15%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
1.69
59%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.21
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
18%
5.62
47%
2.15
Win to Nil
3%
37.69
27%
3.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 14.3 | 12.3 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.765
λ Away (xG)
1.727
Total xG
2.492
League avg home goals
1.031
League avg away goals
1.321
Jeju United FC attack strength
0.769
Jeju United FC defence strength
1.009
FC Seoul attack strength
1.296
FC Seoul defence strength
0.965
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45